Friday, February 20, 2015

Troy pregame

They are 10-15 and 5-11 in conference. However, they had a huge win over Georgia Southern on the road last time out, so they will be coming in on a high, thinking they can do it.

They likely will start 6-8, 6-7, 6-5 across the front line. They have three players in double figures, led by Musa Abdul-Aleem at 15.4 ppg. Kevin Thomas is their big guy inside, averaging 10.4 ppg and 8.1 rpg, and shooting an excellent 62.4% from the field. They have good perimeter defense, holding opponents to 31% from the arc.

Defending Troy might not be easy, but it is fairly simple, because 37% of their attempts are from the arc. (Shades of the old Maestri days.) Beyond that, fully 1/4 of all their shots are 3-pointers taken by two players: Abdul-Aleem and Wesley Person. So if we are not on those two guys like a blanket, we have no one to blame but ourselves. They should NEVER be open.

Sagarin picks us by 6. RealtimeRPI picks Troy by 3.

No comments: