Ark State is now the 9th team. They are 7 games out, or 1 1/2 games behind us. They have two games left, both at home, against USA and Louisiana. Our magic number against ASU is one, meaning a win by us in our last game or a loss by them in either game guarantees us a place in the tournament.
USA and Tex State are tied with App State in 7th place, a half game behind us. USA has games at Ark State and at home vs. Troy. Tex State has games at App State and at Monroe.
So, at the moment the odds look pretty good of our making the Tournament. Three teams behind us in the running for the one remaining spot.
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