Friday, January 16, 2015

Road wins are precious

If you can win on the road in conference play, that is huge. With perhaps the exception of the ASU at  Little Rock game, home court advantage means a lot. Sagarin says it means about 4 points on any given night, and a lot of games are won by less than that. So, if you can survive at home and pick up a few on the road, then you are that much ahead. It still looks like Louisiana probably is going to be the team to beat in the Belt, but even they can be had. And Georgia State has lost two. Climbing back toward the top might be too much for this team after the hole we have dug at the start, but we might be able to claw our way into the middle of the pack. We will need to pick up a road win or two along the way to do that.

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