Monday, April 11, 2016

Deceptive calculations

On paper, I figure Arlington logically ought to be the favorite going into next season, at least at this point. However, I do think that Chris Beard's substitution patterns make us look a little worse than we will be (not that we look bad in any case). We lost two of our top three players in terms of minutes (Hagins and Woods). Those two also happened to be two of our top three scorers. However, we have six players returning who averaged double-figure minutes, and also some of our better shooters, who logically will turn into better scorers as their minutes go up. For example, Jalen Jackson averaged 8.5 points/game, but then he only averaged 15.3 minutes per game. If his minutes go up to 25 per game, his points proportionally go up to 13.9, which would be higher than anyone on the team had this past season. Shoshi, Isom and Osse's numbers all suggest that their scoring could easily increase significantly. And, all that does not even take into account to high-D1 transfers who are lurking in the wings. I still say that next year's team may be more talented than this past one was. Plus, we will have a TON of senior leadership.

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